Global Trade Imbalances Widen in 2025 as Surpluses Strengthen and Deficits Deepen
Surplus economies expanded export capacity, while deficit economies absorbed more goods despite selective adjustments across mid-tier markets.
Surplus economies expanded export capacity, while deficit economies absorbed more goods despite selective adjustments across mid-tier markets.
China’s rise from a minor exporter to the centre of global manufacturing redefined trade flows, reshaped supply chains and forced the global economy to evolve.
Merchandise trade reaches USD 26 trillion in 2025, while the top 20 exporters account for 70% of global exports.
Machinery dominated exports and imports, reflecting China’s role across the electronics value chain; gold and high-value inputs drove import swings.
Private firms now dominate China’s exports, while trade growth has structurally moderated.
A small group of highly specialised zones anchors China’s trade machine.
Broad-based growth across partners and sectors, led by machinery and transport equipment, signals renewed strength in China’s export engine.
Asia's scale, speed and integration are no longer concentrated in a single core, but spread across multiple, complementary engines.
Global lithium output is expanding in Australia and Chile, but China dominates processing and battery exports, capturing most of the downstream value.
Diverging energy import dependence across Asia is enabling more targeted investment across the region.