
Trade Policy Uncertainty Has Become a Structural Feature of the Global Economy
A decade of data shows a structural break in 2024, after which trade policy volatility no longer returns to its historical baseline.

A decade of data shows a structural break in 2024, after which trade policy volatility no longer returns to its historical baseline.

China’s dominance in battery-grade processing and cell manufacturing leaves global EV production dependent on two stages of the supply chain.

China reached 5% growth in 2025 on the back of exports and industrial strength, while consumption remained secondary.

The top ten exporters and importers of automotive products reveal a highly concentrated global trade system.

Europe accounts for half of global chemical exports and more than a third of imports, but over the past two decades, structural change has lifted China and the U.S.

Export growth is now concentrated in fast-industrialising Asia, infrastructure-heavy Middle Eastern economies and new manufacturing hubs in Eastern Europe.