The Long Shift in Global Trade Since 1948 and China’s Rise
Since 1948, global merchandise trade has shifted decisively away from the Atlantic economies toward Asia.
Since 1948, global merchandise trade has shifted decisively away from the Atlantic economies toward Asia.
Europe’s scale and diversified demand make it a stabilising force in China’s export landscape, with steady export growth over the past decade.
As China’s export growth becomes more concentrated, a limited number of high-growth segments are combining rapid expansion with meaningful export scale.
Electric and hybrid vehicles are driving China’s export growth, accelerating overseas market penetration and compressing the response time available to legacy auto exporters.
Some manufacturing economies have upgraded to tech-intensive exports while others have plateaued despite scale.
Comparing total reserve buffers with import dependence reveals sharp differences in trade resilience among major economies.
Bulk mineral imports stabilised at elevated monthly values in 2024-2025, while non-bulk imports trended higher in aggregate.
China dominates every stage of solar PV manufacturing, yet export revenues are increasingly exposed to global pricing cycles rather than to volume growth.
ANDAMAN PARTNERS outlines, unpacks and unravels some of the broad shifts and finer intricacies of China’s economic development and transition in 2026.
ANDAMAN PARTNERS presents the world's investment hotspots in four clusters: Mega, Major, Scaling and Emerging.