
China’s Industrial Cycle in 2025: Output Steady, Margins Recovering Despite Muted Sentiment
While PMI remained cautious and marginally contractionary, steady export demand and resilient output kept manufacturing on a modest but stable growth path.

While PMI remained cautious and marginally contractionary, steady export demand and resilient output kept manufacturing on a modest but stable growth path.

Retail sales improved marginally year-on-year, supported by resilient online spending and stronger rural consumption.

Real GDP growth varies widely across Asia despite broadly similar population dynamics.

Primary commodities accounted for 69% of export earnings in 2025, anchoring Brazil’s global relevance in food, energy, and metals.

China’s 2025 expansion reflects steady export growth and a return to mid-single-digit overall trade momentum.

Machinery, electronics and vehicles dominate China’s Latin America export basket, driven by Mexico and Brazil.