
The Shift in China’s Growth Engine: From External Dependence to Domestic Scale
China’s import intensity peaked in 2006 and has steadily declined since then as domestic production capacity and internal demand expanded.

China’s import intensity peaked in 2006 and has steadily declined since then as domestic production capacity and internal demand expanded.

China’s trade as a share of GDP rose from 20% in 1980 to a peak of 64% in 2006 before falling to 37% in 2024 as the economy shifted toward domestic consumption.

The EU dominates both markets, while the U.S. and Brazil remain strong exporters. China plays a larger role as an importer.

Silver supply remains flat while industrial demand—driven by solar and electronics—continues to surge, keeping the market in a deepening structural deficit.

In 1995, nearly four-fifths of China’s exports went to just ten economies. By 2024, the top-ten’s share was reduced to 51%.

China’s rise from 4% of world exports in 2000 to nearly 16% in 2024 reflects a two-decade structural transformation.