
The Rise of Next-Tier Manufacturing Economies Beyond China
Manufacturing growth shifted toward lower-cost, mid-scale economies, but only a small group has combined sustained expansion with rising industrial weight.

Manufacturing growth shifted toward lower-cost, mid-scale economies, but only a small group has combined sustained expansion with rising industrial weight.

China’s exports reoriented away from the U.S. toward Asia and emerging markets, while U.S. imports re-anchored toward Mexico, Europe and Asia.

China’s surplus accumulation since 2018 has re-anchored toward Asia and Europe, while the North American balance has weakened.

Global primary crop production in 2024 edged down after peaking in 2023, while agrifood exports rose to a new high.

Procurement functions have moved into moderate or advanced AI adoption, but there are still constraints on scaling.

A decade of data shows a structural break in 2024, after which trade policy volatility no longer returns to its historical baseline.